Mathematics
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Mathematics
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Item Approximate Solution of SIR Infectious Disease Model Using Homotopy Pertubation Method (HPM).(Pacific Journal of Science and Technology, 2013-11-20) Abubakar, Samuel; Akinwande, N. I.; Jimoh, O. R.; Oguntolu, F. A.; Ogwumu, O. D.In this paper we proposed a SIR model for general infectious disease dynamics. The analytical solution is obtained using the Homotopy Perturbation Method (HPM). We used the MATLAB computer software package to obtain the graphical profiles of the three compartments while varying some salient parameters. The analysis revealed that the efforts at eradication or reduction of disease prevalence must always match or even supersede the infection rate.Item Modelling the impacts of media campaign and double dose vaccination in controlling COVID-19 in Nigeria(Alexandria Engineering Journal, 2023-08-16) Akinwande, N. I.; Somma, Samuel Abu; Olayiwola, R. O.; Ashezua, T. T.; Gweryina, R. I.; Oguntolu, F. A.Corona virus disease (COVID-19) is a lethal disease that poses public health challenge in both developed and developing countries of the world. Owing to the recent ongoing clinical use of COVID-19 vaccines and noncompliance to COVID-19 health protocols, this study presents a deterministic model with an optimal control problem for assessing the community-level impact of media campaign and double-dose vaccination on the transmission and control of COVID-19. Detailed analysis of the model shows that, using the Lyapunov function theory and the theory of centre manifold, the dynamics of the model is determined essentially by the control reproduction number (𝑅𝑚𝑣). Consequently, the model undergoes the phenomenon of forward bifurcation in the absence of the double dose vaccination effects, where the global disease-free equilibrium is obtained whenever 𝑅𝑚𝑣 ≤ 1. Numerical simulations of the model using data relevant to the transmission dynamics of the disease in Nigeria, show that, certain values of the basic reproduction number ((𝑅0 ≥ 7)) may not prevent the spread of the pandemic even if 100% media compliance is achieved. Nevertheless, with assumed 75% (at 𝑅0 = 4)) media efficacy of double dose vaccination, the community herd immunity to the disease can be attained. Furthermore, Pontryagin’s maximum principle was used for the analysis of the optimized model by which necessary conditions for optimal controls were obtained. In addition, the optimal simulation results reveal that, for situations where the cost of implementing the controls (media campaign and double dose vaccination) considered in this study is low, allocating resources to media campaign-only strategy is more effective than allocating them to a firstdose vaccination strategy. More so, as expected, the combined media campaign-double dose vaccination strategy yields a higher population-level impact than the media campaign-only strategy, double-dose vaccination strategy or media campaign-first dose vaccination strategy.Item Stability Analysis of Disease Free Equilibrium (DFE) State of a Mathematical Model of Yellow Fever Incorporating Secondary Host(Pacific Journal of Science and Technology, 2017-11-20) Somma, Samuel Abu; Akinwande, N. I.; Jiya, M.; Abdulrahaman, S.In this paper we formulate a mathematical model of yellow fever incorporating secondary host. We obtained the Disease Free Equilibrium (DFE) Points and compute the basic reproduction number. The local and global stability of the DFE was analyzed using Jacobian Matrix stability techniques and Lyapunov function respectively. The local and global stability was asymptotically stable if 1 0 R and 1 0 R , respectively. The basic reproduction number and control parameters of the model were presented graphically.